View wind speed & intensity updates every 30 minutes Note: Local threat graphics are typically not available until shortly before storm landfall. 7-Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast This is a summary of rain over four days: A few inches or more could still lead to flooding.Download the most comprehensive Hurricane Tracker app for iOS. Rainfall Forecast: European Model Through Tuesday A second burst of rain will try to form Sunday into Tuesday. This Low has a chance to redevelop as it moves to the coast. The primary Low may get stuck in the Ohio Valley while the initial moisture moves to and off the coast. The rain will arrive late Friday and Saturday into Maryland. Despite the tropical source, it will be chilly!Įuropean Model Storm Simulation 8 PM Friday to 8 AM Tuesday Much of our region will be on the edge of rain from Ian. The concert in Ocean City will be damp in addition to a chilly wind off the water. That Blocking High now appears to lose its grip as the weekend begins. With Hurricane Ian making progress to the Atlantic and picking up more moisture, it looks like rain will get into Maryland earlier. Ian will lose tropical characteristics, but the remnant Low is important to keep tracking for possible redevelopment. We are going to pick up the European Model to track this rain through the weekend and into next week. The Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Model Guidance shows this possibly looping around and then tracking to the coast south of Baltimore. It may be the start of a soggy day and weekend. High Pressure in New York and New England will still block the rain, but it looks like that may be allowed to track in faster and farther north. This is when we need to expand the view to see how this large system will expand into the Mid Atlantic. Landfall or already inland between Savannah, GA and Charleston, SC. A strong Easterly wind on the coast will create additional problems. The center of Ian will be East of Jacksonville, FL. Here we see it along the coast at 11 PM, while the National Hurricane Center is calling for a faster track and it reaching the water during the afternoon. This plot is up for debate… The center of Ian should reemerge over the Atlantic between Cape Canaveral and Daytona Beach. This is slower than the NHC Track, but I wanted to highlight a few elements. It should reach the Atlantic coast near Daytona later on Tuesday, then curve along the coast to make a second US landfall between Savannah and Charleston. Hurricane Ian will gradually weaken overnight as it passes to the south and east of Orlando. It should reach the Atlantic coast near Daytona later on Thursday, then curve along the coast to make a second US landfall between Savannah and Charleston.įorecast Track From The National Hurricane Center Hurricane Ian Made Landfall On Captiva Florida: Doppler Radar And Amazing Surge Videoįorecast Simulation: 8 PM Wed to 8 PM Fri GFS Model See The Landfall: Click for the radar loop and two fascinating vides of opposite Storm Surges Tropical Storm force winds extend 175 miles from the center. Hurricane Force Winds reach 50 miles from the center.As of Thursday evening, 1.9 million customers in Florida have lost power. The eye of Ian is tracking inland across Florida. We have been debating the arrival of the rain in Maryland and possible impact into early next week. The purpose of this post is a brief update on the Hurricane, forecast across Florida to a second landfall on South Carolina, then the forecast through this weekend here in the Mid Atlantic. Yes, it looks like there will be a return to the water then a second landfall up the coast as it curves North. Hurricane Ian made landfall today and continues to track through Florida on a destructive path to the Atlantic Ocean tomorrow.
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